I’ve always been suspicious about Wendy Davis, the Democrat’s big hope for winning the 2014 gubernatorial election in Texas .
I’ve been suspicious about her ideology. A cursory glance at her record shows she’s no Elizabeth Warren. She’s a conservative Southern Democrat who loves oil, big business, guns, low wages, and is not as pro-choice as people think http://gawker.com/wendy-davis-is-suddenly-fine-with-the-abortion-ban-she-1522206031 . Granted she has to adapt to the state she lives in but Harry Truman said it best "I've seen it happen time after time. When the Democratic candidate allows himself to be put on the defensive and starts apologizing for the New Deal and the fair Deal, and says he really doesn't believe in them, he is sure to lose. The people don't want a phony Democrat. If it's a choice between a genuine Republican, and a Republican in Democratic clothing, the people will choose the genuine article, every time; that is, they will take a Republican before they will a phony Democrat, and I don't want any phony Democratic candidates in this campaign."
Recent revelations about false statements on her personal life undercut her public integrity. There’s a big difference between being a single mom and putting yourself through Harvard and having a rich second husband put you through Harvard (which is what actually happened). I also see questions about her fitness as a mother and the end of her marriage to her second husband who helped her greatly in her career as serious.
But what I’m most suspicious of is her actual chances of winning the governorship. Texas is a great prize the Democrats constantly talk about winning like some sporting event they are not ready for but desire greatly. The tide is shifting in their favor demographically but we are still about 20 years away from a time when the Democrats could win any higher offices in Texas.
In 2010, Rick Perry, a fool, and clown, still trounced Bill White, the former Mayor of Houston, a former Clinton cabinet official, and a far more formidable Democratic candidate than Wendy Davis. I don’t see how Davis could do any better and I predict if she is the nominee she will lose to Greg Abbott the Republican candidate by more than ten points.
The big picture is that while Democratic chances to hold on to a senate majority are teetering, a real toss-up, they are definitely going to pick up some governorships. Barring any unforeseen circumstance, I predict The Dems will win Florida, Pennsylvania, and Maine all currently held by Republicans. Here’s the problem – there are other states that are very close (mostly because Democrats have not been successful in recruiting first tier candidates or the candidates are underfunded) and are entirely winnable – Wisconsin and Ohio are examples. Both of these states have governors who may be presidential candidates in 2016. Knocking one or both of them off would be a major coup. In addition, Michigan is in a similar situation (without the presidential aspirations of its governor).
The Wendy Davis abortion show created an unrealistic hope that she could win the Texas governorship. That in turn might lead to her sucking up all the oxygen, all the available resources (especially financial ones) for these very close races. Winning the governorship in Wisconsin against the loathsome Scott Walker is doable but only if a lot of money is put in there and better candidates found.
Davis is a media candidate that cannot win. By all means, register voters in Texas, make the campaign push but let’s focus on the Democratic races for governorships that can be won not to mention the tight Senate races. Republican senate seats in Georgia and Kentucky could be flipped this year. I think there’s a better chance of these two things happening than Davis winning the Texas governorship.